吴泽兵,谷亚冰,姜雯,张文溪,胡诗尧. 基于遗传优化算法的井底钻压智能预测模型[J]. 石油钻采工艺,2023,45(2):151-159. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.2023.02.004
引用本文: 吴泽兵,谷亚冰,姜雯,张文溪,胡诗尧. 基于遗传优化算法的井底钻压智能预测模型[J]. 石油钻采工艺,2023,45(2):151-159. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.2023.02.004
WU Zebing, GU Yabing, JIANG Wen, ZHANG Wenxi, HU Shiyao. Intelligent prediction models of downhole weight on bit based on genetic optimization algorithm[J]. Oil Drilling & Production Technology, 2023, 45(2): 151-159. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.2023.02.004
Citation: WU Zebing, GU Yabing, JIANG Wen, ZHANG Wenxi, HU Shiyao. Intelligent prediction models of downhole weight on bit based on genetic optimization algorithm[J]. Oil Drilling & Production Technology, 2023, 45(2): 151-159. DOI: 10.13639/j.odpt.2023.02.004

基于遗传优化算法的井底钻压智能预测模型

Intelligent prediction models of downhole weight on bit based on genetic optimization algorithm

  • 摘要: 准确的井底钻压是提高钻井效率的重要因素。近年来,越来越多研究表明,智能技术是准确预测目标值的有效途径,结合反向传播(Back Propagation, BP)神经网络和长短期记忆神经网络(Long Short-Term Memory, LSTM),并将单一的BP与LSTM模型和遗传算法(Genetic Algorithm,GA)相结合,建立了4种井底钻压智能预测模型(BP、LSTM、GA-BP与GA-LSTM模型)。通过实验论证,遗传算法在一定程度上起到了优化作用,表现出更高的预测精度、更好的鲁棒性与预测趋势、更快的预测时间。GA-LSTM与GA-BP比单一LSTM与BP模型的平均相对误差分别降低了40.13%和47.11%,并且预测时间分别缩短了12.6倍和9.3倍。其中综合考虑各方面性能可选取GA-LSTM作为井底钻压最优智能预测模型,应用于钻压实时监控或与常规的自动送钻系统结合从而实现对井底钻压的准确控制,提高钻井效率与钻头性能,降低钻井成本。

     

    Abstract: Accurate downhole weight on bit (DWOB) is important to improve drilling efficiency. Over recent years, increasing studies have shown that intelligent technology provides an effective way for precisely predicting the target value. Four intelligent prediction models of DWOB (i.e. BP, LSTM, GA-BP and GA-LSTM) were built by combining back propagation (BP) neural network and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network, and also integrating BP with LSTM and genetic algorithm (GA). Experiments validate that GA does deliver some optimization of the prediction model, with higher prediction accuracy, higher robustness, more consistent prediction trend and faster computation. The GA-LSTM and GA-BP models exhibit the relative error of 40.13% and 47.11%, respectively, less than the single LSTM or BP model, and their computation time is shortened by 12.6 times and 9.3 times, respectively. GA-LSTM is identified as the optimal intelligent prediction model of DWOB, for its overall performance. It can be applied to real-time monitoring of DWOB or combined with a conventional automatic running system to realize accurate control of DWOB, so as to improve drilling efficiency and bit performance, and reduce drilling costs.

     

/

返回文章
返回